Marc Kilmer

Marc Kilmer is a Maryland Public Policy Institute senior fellow specializing in health care issues. He began his career in public policy as a legislative assistant to U.S. Sen. Larry Craig (R-ID), where he worked on education, transportation, and housing issues as well as federal appropriations, public land policy, and gun rights.

After leaving Craig’s office, Kilmer served for three years as executive director/CEO of the American Congress of Community Supports and Employment Services, a Washington, D.C., trade association of nonprofits that provide services to people with disabilities.

Besides his work with MPPI, he also works with the Buckeye Institute for Public Policy Solutions, a free market think tank in Ohio.

Kilmer has a Bachelor of Arts in history and political science from Hillsdale College in Michigan and lives in Salisbury, Maryland, with his wife.


Thursday, July 2, 2009

Maryland Medicaid Expansion Exceeds Cost Estimates 

Who would have thought?

By Marc Kilmer

Categories: Maryland, Medicaid

Looks like Maryland's expanded Medicaid program is a little more popular than expected:

More than 44,000 additional state residents have enrolled as of this week, exceeding estimates that another 26,000 would enroll after income limits were relaxed. Officials say the economic downturn is the reason....

Tricia Roddy, director of Medicaid planning for the state health department, says the expansion is now expected to cost about another $144 million a year, $50 million more than originally estimated.

And who predicted as much back in 2007? Oh, that's right, I did:

Looking at the past 15 years of Medicaid spending, the General Assembly has yet to predict accurately how much money to allocate to pay for the next fiscal year's Medicaid spending. Given the fact that since 1999 the amounts budgeted for Medicaid spending have always been lower than actual expenses, it is likely that the new expansion in the program will cost more than lawmakers predict.

And if the economy slows down, it is likely to cost a lot more. The program's history shows that when the economy cools, Medicaid spending and enrollment increase. During the recession earlier this decade, spending increased from 10 percent to 14. At the same time, the recession weakened Maryland's general fund revenues, so that Medicaid was requiring an increasing amount of decreasing revenue....

Given the historic spending patterns of this program, expanding it in today's economic and fiscal climate makes little sense. Even with the recent tax increases, it is unclear if the state will have enough revenue to satisfy current spending trends. And it is likely that economic growth will not be very robust in the next few years, while Medicaid's growth will be substantial. New Medicaid spending will put even more strain on the state's taxpayers.

Anyone who looked at Medicaid spending over the past decade would have had a hard time coming to a different conclusion. Unfortunately, our state legislators did just that and expanded Medicaid during a special session that was called to close a budget deficit. The irresponsibility boggles the mind.

Wednesday, July 1, 2009

Idaho Insurance Change Making Some State Workers Unhappy 

By Marc Kilmer

Categories: Government employees, Idaho

Governor Butch Otter of Idaho has decreed that instead of part-time state employees receiving the same health insurance benefits as full-time employees, part-timers will have to contribute to their premiums based on the number of hours they work. Government workers are, as may be expected, upset.

As this Idaho Statesman article points out, though, Governor Otter is simply moving the state in the same direction as the private sector and other state governments. Currently, the state offers a generous plan where an employee covering only himself pays $30 a month for a health insurance policy that has a total cost of $752. That's about 4%, which is a very good deal for state employees.

Under the governor's plan, "the state is moving to a bracketed plan, where employees working 28 to 35.9 hours a week pay 20 percent of the cost of their premiums, and employees working 20 to 27.9 hours pay 40 percent of the premium." Considering the very low premiums full-time state workers pay, perhaps the governor should consider raising their rates, too. As the article points out, private sector employees in Idaho pay around 16% of their employees' premiums. There is no reason why state employees should pay 1/4 of that.

Friday, June 26, 2009

New Jersey Embraces Autism Mandate 

By Marc Kilmer

Categories: Insurance Regulation, New Jersey

It looks like New Jersey will become the 14th state to mandate insurance companies cover autism treatments. The legislature finalized work on an autism mandate bill yesterday and the governor is expected to sign it.

Reading the news story, I was a little confused, to be honest. The way it was written ("New Jerseyans with autism and other developmental disabilities would get up to $36,000 in certain treatments covered each year, under a bill that cleared the Legislature today") sounded to my ears like legislators set up some state program to hand over money to families with autistic kids. This legislation, however, is not that honest. Legislators will receive kudos for helping autistic kids but they don't have to find the money to do it (an almost-impossible proposition given the New Jersey budget mess). Instead, legislators mandate that everyone pay more for insurance to help a few people gain access to expensive therapy that is of questionable efficacy.

Don't you just love the policy process?

Wednesday, June 17, 2009

Ohio Governor Suggests Medicaid Cuts 

By Marc Kilmer

Categories: Medicaid, Ohio

Ohio is facing a $2 billion deficit (even after trying to paper over its spending problems with billions in federal "stimulus" money). So it seems that Governor Ted Strickland, who came to office promising to expand Medicaid, is now looking to cut it:

Sources say the areas where Strickland has suggested cutting include: dental, vision and other Medicaid services for low-income adults; the Passport program that enables the elderly to receive care at their home instead of in a nursing home; and services to protect children and adults from abuse.

The administration also proposed eliminating preschool for low-income children, a planned expansion of tax-funded health coverage to uninsured children, and planned increases in payments to nursing homes caring for disabled.

I'm not sure the Passport cuts are all that cost-effective, since it will mean fewer people will receive less expensive in-home care and instead receive services at a more expensive institution, but in general the governor's on the right track.

Of course, if he'd listened to me two years ago, maybe the state wouldn't have quite as large a fiscal mess:

Expanding Medicaid can lead to large increases in Medicaid spending when states can least afford it -- during recessions. Ohio saw this earlier this decade when Medicaid spending increased dramatically during the recent recession. Spending grew at 11 percent annually during 2001 and 2004, squeezing other budget priorities at a time when the state was seeing reduced revenue. Expanding Medicaid now will only repeat this cycle during the next recession.

Monday, June 8, 2009

Marylanders Favor More Govt. Intervention in Health Care 

Some chambers of commerce go along, too

By Marc Kilmer

Categories: Insurance Regulation, Maryland, Medicaid

The results of a poll commissioned by the left-wing Maryland Citizens Health Initiative (MCHI) found that, not surprisingly, a majority of Marylanders want health care reform and they also support a plan to raise taxes for expanded Medicaid coverage. I say "not surprisingly" both because you wouldn't expect any group to release poll results that run counter to its agenda, but also because it's Maryland we're talking about. Even though the poll was commissioned by a liberal organization and performed by a "progressive national polling firm," I am inclined to think that its results are basically true. Marylanders like their government programs.

Somewhat surpisingly, though, there are also a few chambers of commerce that support raising business taxes to pay for more government health care programs. Three state black chambers of commerce have endorsed the MCHI plan, although the state chamber is opposed to it. Democratic legislators are also skeptical of it, with Senate Finance Committee Chair Mac Middleton expressed reservations about supporting a payroll tax hike during next year's session.

Were I a betting man, I'd say the odds of the MCHI plan being enacted next year are pretty slim. But I'll make a prediction that 2011 will be a more favorable year for government health care expansion in Maryland. Sen. Middleton isn't necessarily opposed to expanding Medicaid and the state government's involvement in the health care market, he just wants to make sure there's enough taxpayer money to pay for it. Two years will bring a better economy and a gap of three years before the next legislative election. Those factors mean bad news for Maryland taxpayers.

Thursday, June 4, 2009

Medicaid Shell Game Continues in Ohio 

By Marc Kilmer

Categories: Medicaid, Ohio

A previous post of mine discussed how Ohio politicians are trying to game the system to pull down more federal Medicaid funding. These fiscal shenanigans continue in the version of the budget to emerge from the state Senate. This budget imposes a franchise tax on providers that receive Medicaid funding, but it promises they won't feel any impact as their reimbursement rates will go up and they will receive a supplemental Medicaid payment.

It's a clever game policymakers are playing -- impose a tax on providers in order for the state to increase its Medicaid spending. This increase will, of course, bring in more federal money. The entities being taxed, however, will see their tax money returned to them as soon as its been laundered by the state in order to get that federal money.

The Bush Administration made moves to cut down on this tpe of activity, which it placed under the category of "waste, fraud, and abuse." I've seen no indication that the Obama Administration is interested in doing the same thing. If you want to see why federal entitement spending is going up, looking at ways the government gives incentives for states to game the system is a good place to start.

Friday, May 22, 2009

Price of Insurance in New Jersey Going Up 

Autism mandate likely to become law

By Marc Kilmer

Categories: Insurance Regulation, New Jersey

The New Jersey Assembly has voted to require private insurance companies cover autism treatment. While it has yet to be voted on by the state senate, given New Jersey's love affair with goverment insurance mandates, I think it's a safe bet that this will be law in the Garden State soon.

Of course, this mandate will only raise the cost of insurance for New Jersey residents. As Grace-Marie Turner pointed out in this post, "a family purchasing a health insurance policy in Wisconsin would pay about $3,087, but that policy would cost $10,398 in New Jersey." Is it really fair to ask these families to pay even more to cover treatment that may not even work?

Wednesday, May 13, 2009

Mandating Useless Services? 

Autism mandate may cost a lot, produce nothing

By Marc Kilmer

Categories: Insurance Regulation

I've blogged about the trend in many states to require insurance companies to cover services for autistic children. These services are frequently expensive but many parents swear they work. A doctor, however, points out that there isn't much evidence these services do any good.

This points out one of the problems of mandating that insurance cover certain procedures. The decisions are based on politics, not science or what is cost effective. In some states, for instance, chiropractic services are covered, even though the evidence is clear that chiropractic "medicine" provides no benefit.

The push for an autism mandate is driven by parents of autistic children who, understandably, want to ensure their children receive the best services possible. As a new parent, I sympathize. But I also understand why anecdote-driven health care is a bad thing. For instance, I have family who swear that their baby's colic was helped by an osteopath manipulating her bones. Of course, it's clear this is a sham treatment but I'll never convince them of this. For them, their baby's crying lessened (or seemed to lessen) after seeing an osteopath, so therefore the osteopath's treatment helped. Trying to discuss confirmation bias or the differences between correlation and causation with them is a losing battle.

A variety of other treatments (both mainstream and alternative) suffer from the same problem: patients believe they work even when the evidence is clear they don't. Government mandates for such coverage means people with insurance will be paying higher premiums to pay for these sham treatments.

(h/t to Tyler Cowen's excellent Marginal Revolution, in which he discusses this issue from another angle)

Thursday, May 7, 2009

South Carolina Squabbles over Government Health Care 

By Marc Kilmer

Categories: Medicaid, South Carolina

South Carolina politicians want to expand government's involvement in health care -- they just can't agree on how to do it. A proposal to raise the state's seven-cents-a-pack cigarette tax has stalled because of objections to creating a fund to subsidize health insurance premiums: 

The House-passed version of the bill now before the Senate would generate about $145 million.

Amendments adopted in the subcommittee Tuesday as it approved the bill with a 3-1 vote would use about $135 million for health care programs.

About $100 million of that would create a fund to cover 75 percent of health care policies for individuals who make up to roughly $21,600. The maximum credit would be $3,000. Employers with 25 or fewer low-income workers could get a 67 percent credit for each worker insured with the same limit.

The plan calls for the rest of the money to go into health care coverage for the people in high-risk health groups, cancer research, smoking cessation and agricultural marketing.

Senate Minority Leader John Land wants to use the money to expand Medicaid instead. As he points out, the $150 million would draw $450 million in federal funding.

I'm not enamored with insurance subsidies, but I think they are a better way to provide health care than Medicaid. But Sen. Land has a point -- the feds are offering all this "free" money, so why not take it? It's another illustration into the unintended effects of the current Medicaid system. What may be a good idea may be defeated because there is a pot of federal money out there if the state expand Medicaid.

Thursday, May 7, 2009

Arizona Moves to Make Health Insurance More Affordable 

House moves mandate-lite policy

By Marc Kilmer

Categories: Arizona, Insurance Regulation

When other states are piling on the insurance mandates, Arizona is heading the opposite direction:

The Arizona House has approved legislation to allow private health insurance policies for uninsured individuals that would omit some coverages normally mandated by the state.

Of course, in the story it references one legislator who is concerned that the uninsured would be hurt if they couldn't buy insurance that covers things like alcoholism treatment. Yes, I guess it's better they go without insurance at all rather than have coverage for a program they may never use.

This bill may die in the state Senate, but it's good to know some state legislators understand the connection between government mandates and higher insurance costs.

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